Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 60.533627 68.766662 77.250210 86.612110 96.621410 106.972010 118.454359
2025-03-23 48.937197 60.761100 73.552248 88.282432 104.648025 122.154421 142.180390
2025-03-30 42.146966 55.987610 71.507315 89.920614 110.910117 133.855941 160.608183
2025-04-06 35.760435 50.735981 68.110118 89.290692 113.985290 141.486481 174.060978
2025-04-13 29.842580 45.312460 63.884917 87.126934 114.801658 146.145445 183.797599
2025-04-20 27.541701 44.048843 64.380597 90.310125 121.645502 157.549241 201.091578
2025-04-27 25.053507 42.259076 64.002836 92.249099 126.869417 166.970363 216.032583
2025-05-04 21.847864 39.193290 61.761307 91.677794 128.904915 172.522413 226.377856
2025-05-11 18.937570 36.236680 59.424569 90.784659 130.383760 177.288304 235.701445
2025-05-18 16.963056 34.410332 58.420565 91.455204 133.684456 184.156242 247.453740
2025-05-25 14.817872 32.111454 56.612465 90.948670 135.411991 189.051070 256.805118
2025-06-01 13.176912 30.413124 55.503126 91.254479 138.082679 195.036038 267.424151
2025-06-08 11.247108 28.069345 53.370564 90.131282 138.916897 198.799045 275.439885
2025-06-15 10.223038 27.120290 53.174637 91.577556 143.029088 206.600489 288.364536
2025-06-22 9.371091 26.371375 53.208017 93.291281 147.459136 214.783497 301.755437
2025-06-29 8.044796 24.603487 51.600244 92.641534 148.735078 218.989631 310.261213
2025-07-06 6.542241 22.273930 48.972587 90.430179 147.850605 220.408862 315.286530
2025-07-13 6.290751 22.397496 50.180767 93.684358 154.249849 231.043782 331.708529
2025-07-20 5.816800 21.999204 50.520192 95.666171 158.936075 239.509433 345.460979
2025-07-27 4.936614 20.593124 49.138805 95.082284 160.118082 243.482682 353.618842
2025-08-03 4.107393 19.142600 47.584695 94.169421 160.798440 246.776337 360.904929
2025-08-10 3.603840 18.373949 47.129418 94.854786 163.642635 252.843282 371.661589
2025-08-17 2.996579 17.209516 45.912674 94.337061 164.789553 256.691690 379.619072